Ohio 9th District US House Election

• Find out more about the races below.
• The race pits the longest-tenured woman from the House against a Trump backed newcomer.
• Kaptur’s political career is in danger due to a newly drawn congressional district.  
• Majewski was hot when he started, but a financial disclosure violation as well as a military service scandal have caused him to lose his job.

Marcy Kaptur, a long-serving Democratic Rep., faces J.R. Majewski, a Republican newcomer for Ohio’s 9th Congressional District. Kaptur, long a Democrat-leaning member of Congress, now faces her most competitive race for decades.

Candidates for Ohio’s 9th Congressional district

There is no female member of the US House. Kaptur served longer, who has served Ohio’s 9th Congressional District since 1983 — when President Ronald Reagan was just halfway through his first term.

She has won re-election every election cycle since then. She’s usually won her races by more that 30 percentage points based on her appeal. ModerateA constituency’s political record includes, on balance, working class, predominantly white, densely populated.

Fast forward nearly 40 Years: Congressional Redistricting in Ohio wasn’t kind to Kaptur, with a Republican-led legislature thrusting her into a decidedly redder district than the one she’s been representing for the past decade.

Half the residents of the district where she is currently running aren’t her constituents.

Majewski will be in May ScoredSurprising victory in a four-wayRepublican primary. Ex-President Donald Trump endorsed him in June. It seemed equally possible that Majewski and Kaptur would win in November, as it did during the summer.

Majewski then stumbled.

He was a flirtatious with the QAnon conspiracy theory. He Violation of federal lawBy failing to reveal required details about his personal finances Only do this afterInsider first reportedMore information. 

The following September: Associated Press reportedMajewski misrepresented parts of his Air Force service. Majewski’s story of military service was further deconstructed when Majewski published his. Arguments that there is a “brawl.” disqualified him from re-enlisting in the Air Force — even though These records were obtained from the militaryIt appeared that drunk driving was a contributing factor.

The National Republican Congressional Committee Since the bailoutMajewski is seen in an indication that GOP brass have left him alone.

But in Interview with Insider at a campaign stop near ToledoMajewski expressed confidence that he would win regardless.

Voting history for Ohio’s 9th Congressional District

Ohio’s 9th Congressional District currently is called the “snake-by-the lake” because it stretches along a narrow, winding, gerrymandered strip of Lake Erie running from just west Cleveland to Toledo. It also runs alongside Ohio’s state border with Michigan.

Kaptur has benefited from this. Kaptur has easily beaten her Republican counterparts in this Democratic, blue-collar district over the past decade. This district saw Joe Biden defeat Donald Trump by approximately 19 percentage points in 2020. Hillary Clinton, Democratic presidential candidate, won the district by 22 percentage points over Trump in 2016.

But Ohio’s redrawn 9th Congressional District — the district in which Kaptur and Majewski are running — is decidedly redder, centered in blue-ish Toledo but encompassing significantly more rural (and Republican-leaning) areas both to the west and east. 

The money race

According to OpenSecretsKaptur raised $3.1million, spent $3.1million, and had approximately $738,000 cash as of October 19. Majewski raised approximately $930,000 and spent around $777,000. He also has $154,000 cash in his bank account as of October 19.

Super PACs, National Party Committees, and Other Non-Candidate Groups have merged as of November 5. Spend more than $4.5 million in this race, including during the race’s primary phase. House Majority PAC, a national Democratic party Hybrid PACSupport Kaptur to lead all spenders

Expert opinions

The race between Majewski and Kaptur is rated “lean Democratic” Inside Elections, “lean Democratic” by The Cook Political Report, and “leans Democratic by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, University of Virginia Center for Politics.